Week 9 is here which means another week of picking winners from every game! Before I started publishing articles on my picks every week, my record was 57-49. Now after a record of 11-2 my overall record stands at 68-51. This week the Bills travel to MetLife Stadium for a clash between two AFC East teams while Sunday brings three division games with the Falcons heading to Carolina to face Cam Newton, the Colts will duel against the Texan and Deshaun Watson, while Jameis and the Bucs head to the Superdome to face Bress and the Saints. Week 9 will wrap up at Lambeau Field with the Matt Stafford and the Detroit Lions battling it out against Hundley and the Pack. Now let’s get into it!
Bills 24, Jets 22; 8:25pm CBS/NFL Network
Thursday Night Football between two division rivals at MetLife Stadium. I like the Bills coming out of this game with a win especially after the fact that Tyrod Taylor has a new toy to play with in Kelvin Benjamin who was recently acquired from the Panthers in a trade that saw the Bills send a 2018 3rd round and 7th round pick to Carolina. Also, LeSean McCoy is coming off a game in which he rushed for 150+ yards and looks to repeat that performance against a Jets defense ranks 28th in rushing yards per game allowed (128.3). The Bills are a better team overall but the defense has had its struggles against the pass so look for McCown to keep this game close.
Eagles 22, Broncos 16; 1:00pm CBS
A tough one to call in Philly. Denver’s defense ranks in the top 5 in nearly every category (1st in yards/game allowed, 1st in passing yards/game allowed, and 2nd in rushing yards/game allowed.). Carson Wentz and the offense have a tough task ahead of them but the recent acquisition of Jay Ajayi could change the dynamic of the offense that ranks 3rd in total offense and 5th in total rushing yards per game. As for the Broncos, what gives with Trevor Siemian? The Broncos come into this game with a three game losing streak in which the offense scored a combined 29 points (9 points/game over that span) and Siemian has thrown 2 TD passes to 6 INTs in the past 3 games. Not where he wants to be right now. Well now he’s been benched for Osweiler but given that the offensive line ranks among one of the worst in the league, Osweiler could struggle as much as Siemian did last week against a hungry Philly D-Line.
Titans 23, Ravens 19; 1:00pm CBS
The question here is, which quarterback will play worse? Will Joe Flacco even play after that hit from Kiko Alonso last or will Mallett fill in? Neither of them are that inspiring so by default Mariota will play better. The advantage here for the Titans will be the run game as they are tied for 8th in rushing yards per game (124.6) while the Ravens rank 30th in total rushing yards allowed per game (132.8). The Tennessee running game will need to carry this offense seeing as the Titans passing attack ranks 26th with 201.9 yards/game. Since the Titans are at home they should come out with a win.
Panthers 24, Falcons 20; 1:00pm FOX
Both teams are coming off of wins against two teams that were below .500 and seeing as this is a division game at Carolina, I’m gonna take it the Panthers but by a slim margin. Carolina’s defense will prevent Matt Ryan from walking out with a win as their defense ranks 2nd in total yards per game allowed (264.0). Atlanta’s offense has been relatively disappointing compared to last year especially with Matt Ryan’s performances. He has only thrown 9 TD passes to 6 INT’s on the season. Not only that but Devonta Freeman may not play Sunday due to a concussion he sustained this past Sunday against the Jets.
Texans 31, Colts 20; 1:00pm CBS
DESHAUN WATSON… is unreal. Watson nearly walked out of CenturyLink Field with a victory, but Wilson’s late-game heroics prevented that from happening. Even so, Watson made the Legion of Boom look silly tossing 4 TD passes at their home and received praise from Richard Sherman. He has taken the league by storm. Don’t be surprised if Watson lights up the Colts secondary Sunday in Houston. As for the Colts… well… let’s just say Jacoby Brissett will try his best to keep up with Watson… which shouldn’t end well.
Giants 20, Rams 17; 1:00pm FOX
This game could really go either way but for some reason I feel like the Giants will come away with a win at MetLife. Evan Engram has been Eli Manning’s go to receiver and has been performing well as of late wile Sterling Shepherd could be back this weekend after sustaining an ankle injury a few weeks back. The case against the Giants is that Todd Gurley could run all over them especially since the Giant defense ranks 23rd in rushing yards per game allowed (120.7). If the Giants can bottle Gurley up, they’ll have a chance but they’ll need to apply pressure on Goff early in order to throw him off his game.
Saints 27, Bucs 20; 1:00pm FOX
If there’s been one disappointing team in the league this year it has to be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Their defense ranks among the top 5 worst units in the league (partially because of the injuries on defense) and Jameis Winston has been playing with a bad shoulder. Since the Bucs are playing in the Superdome, look for the Saints to come out victorious. I mean, Drew Brees… what else is there to say? Future Hall of Famer, Super Bowl MVP, and knows how to distribute the ball around. The Bucs defense has been the weak point of that unit so look for Brees to pick them apart.
Jaguars 24, Bengals 19; 1:00pm CBS
All eyes will be on newly acquired Marcel Dareus who was brought in to stuff the run especially because the Jaguars have the worst run defense in the league allowing 138.6 yards per game. If Dareus isn’t an upgrade for this defense, look for the defense to continue to struggle against the run. The Bengals offense ranks among one of the worst defenses in the league in total yards per game (287.1). They are still finding an identity on offense which could work in favor of the Jaguars. The Jaguars are at home and favorites to win but if Blake Bortkes plays poorly… things could go awry quickly.
49ers 20, Cardinals 17; 4:05pm FOX
The chances of the 49ers getting their first win of the season are higher than you might think. Considering the 49ers are home against the Cardinals and that Drew Stanton will be filling in for injured Carson Palmer, there is certainly a chance. The 49ers recently traded for Jimmy Garropolo but unfortunely for Niners fans, he won’t be starting this week. C.J. Beathard will be starting by default after Brian Hoyer was released. The 49ers will depend on the defense which notched 3 sacks against a shaky Philly O-line and will look to carry that into this game.
Seahawks 26, Redskins 20; 4:05pm FOX
Tough loss for the Redskins last week against the Cowboys and it won’t get any better for them as they face the Seahawks this week. The Redskins are banged up on the defense and on the offensive line. Seattle meanwhile, will look to hold Kirk Cousins and company in check especially after Deshaun Watson picked them apart last week. Russell Wilson will certainly pose a challenge for the Redskins defense. The only real chance of the Redskins winning is if they can keep Russell Wilson in the pocket and if they get constant pressure on him. I’m taking the Seahawks in this one.
Chiefs 24, Cowboys 20; 4:25pm CBS
With Zeke Elliott getting his suspension reinstated, he will now miss the next 6 games and Alfred Morris will take his spot in the starting lineup. Dak Prescott threw for less than 200 yards and had to rely on Zeke but now he’ll have to show everyone that he can carry the team himself. The opposing team, the Kansas City Chiefs, are coming off a dominant win in Denver and looked like the team prior to their 2 losses. Look for the Chiefs to fair well against a Dallas defense that ranks 15th in rushing yards per game allowed and 15th in passing yards per game allowed. It ocultan be surprising if Alex Smith continued his streak of passes without throwing an interception.
Raiders 24, Dolphins 16; 8:30pm NBC
On Miami… trading Jay Ajayi for a 4th round pick… just downright dumb. I’m not sure what was going through the Adam Gase’s mind but clearly he didn’t want him. The “worst offense in the league” will continue to be the worst with Jay Cutler or Matt Moore at QB. The Raiders meanwhile, will get Marshawn Lynch back and will bounce back against a Miami defense that allowed 30 points against a shaky Ravens offense.
Lions 24, Packers 15; 8:30pm ESPN
If Aaron Rodgers was playing then I would give this to the Packers but since Brett Hundley is playing, I’m giving it to the Lions. Matt Stafford threw for 400+ yards last week against the Steelers but couldn’t come out with a win. Stafford will look to repeat that performance but actually threw TD passes. The Packers will need to rely on the other Aaron, Aaron Jones, in order to win this game. However, I don’t think this will be enough especially since his performance against the Saints wasn’t very inspiring.